Experimental research found contradictory results regarding the occurrence of informational cascades. Whereas Anderson and Holt [Anderson, L.R., Holt, C.A., 1997. Information cascades in the laboratory. The American Economic Review 87, 847-862] confirmed the model of Banerjee [Banerjee, A.V.,...

Reputational herding has been considered as a driving force behind economic and financial forecasts clustered around consensus values. Strategic coordination can consequently explain poor performances of prediction markets as resulting from the distinct incentives that forecasters face. While...

Capital market forecasts sometimes suffer from a too intensive orientation towards the current market situation and lose their future-orientated character. This phenomenon can be referred to as Topical Orientated Trend Adjustment (GOVA). For an individual statistical proof we develop a new...

Einzeltitelempfehlungen von Banken oder Fachzeitschriften treffen in den vergangenen Jahren bei der Investorenschaft immer häufiger auf Misstrauen. Zunehmende Aufmerksamkeit wird hingegen indexbasierten aktiven Portfoliomanagement-Strategien gewidmet. Trotzdem werden nur selten Prognosen zur...

The paper analyses on an experimental basis the phenomenon of non-optimal under-diversification in portfolio choice decisions and investigates the reasons behind it. The most important obstacles for optimal diversification are studied – the correlation neglect hypothesis and the overconfidence...

In this paper we contribute to the discussion on whether intellectual property rights foster or hinder innovation by means of a laboratory experiment. We introduce a novel Scrabble-like creativity task that captures most essentialities of a sequential innovation process. We use this task to...

Voluntary environmental agreements are widely considered an alternative instrument to command-and-control policies or economic incentives and are frequently labeled “efficient” or “cost-effective.” In this article it is argued that voluntary agreements are much more limited in scope. It...

Behavioral biases in forecasting, particularly the lack of adjustment from current values and the overall clustering of forecasts, are increasingly explained as resulting from the anchoring heuristic. Nonetheless, the classical anchoring experiments presented in support of this interpretation...