Showing 1 - 10 of 7,777
This paper offers a reappraisal of the inflation-unemployment tradeoff, based on ?frictional growth,? describing the … expectations, there is a long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff. Our empirical analysis suggests that this Phillips curve may be … reasonably flat. We show that the persistence of inflation and unemployment, in response to monetary policy shocks, is related to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008520206
In order to provide medium run forecasts of headline and core HICP inflation for the euro area, we assess the … indicators help improve upon the simple Autoregressive (AR) model for forecasting HICP core inflation as well total inflation, if … in inflation in a timely manner. But, from that point of view, the construction of a ''synthetic core'' indicator helps …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056518
transformed money demand, in addition to the observed output gap and inflation, into a simple but optimal interest rate rule …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009650625
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005590873
Monetary aggregates continue to play an important role in the ECB's policy strategy. This paper revisits the case for money, surveying the ongoing theoretical and empirical debate. The key conclusion is that an exclusive focus on non-monetary factors alone may leave the ECB with an incomplete...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599686
high degree of exchange rate pass-through to headline inflation and the weak monetary transmission mechanism in PICs … suggest a greater efficacy of exchange rate changes in affecting inflation rather than monetary policy. To assess the tradeoff … rate changes and headline inflation and the low interest rate sensitivity of aggregate demand. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790298
Abwärtsnominallohnrigidität selbst vom inflationären Umfeld abhängt und in Jahren mit niedriger Inflation sinkt. This paper examines the existence … nominal wage rigidity - under a constant degree of rigidity - are the higher, the lower the inflation rate is. For inflation … of the rigidity itself sinks during years of low inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005176947
ratio means a large loss of gross domestic product (GDP) or employment for a given reduction in inflation. In order to … estimate the cost of adjustments in inflation rates by the sacrifice ratio, we apply, firstly, a Structural Vector …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010939009
economic agents´ inflation expectations. Real marginal costs are proxied by three different measures. The results suggest that … OECD inflation forecasts perform relatively well as a proxy for inflation expectations in the euro area, since under this … approach the European inflation process can be modeled using the forward-looking New Keynesian Phillips curve. However …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005207149
The dynamics of the Phillips Curve in New Keynesian, Expectations Augmented and Hybrid forms are extremely sensitive to the choice, timing and restrictions on variables. An important element of the debate revolves round what information decision-makers took into account at the time and round...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083279