The paper develops a general equilibrium framework to examine the economic implications of population aging in Japan. Particular attention is paid to aggregate saving behavior which is modeled on the basis of empirical age-earnings profiles using a life-cycle approach. The paper's objectives are...

This study assesses the economic implications of China's changing population in the 21st century using a numerical general equilibrium model. The simulations show that lower fertility rates yield lower saving rates. Since lower fertility rates reduce the future supply of labor, capital will...

This paper calculates the levels of optimal national saving, investment, and the current account balance for five Asian economies—Hong Kong SAR, Japan, Singapore, Malaysia, and the Philippines—for the period 1997–2050 using a simulation approach. These calculations show the sensitivity of...

Niedrige Geburtenraten und eine gleichzeitige Steigerung der Lebensdauer führen in Zukunft zu einer erheblichen Veränderung der Altersstrukturen auf dem Arbeitsmarkt. In seinem Kommentar befasst sich Hartmut Buck, Fraunhofer IAO, Stuttgart, mit der Frage, wie mit einem steigenden Anteil...