Showing 1 - 10 of 719
Das Verhalten in Entscheidungssituationen ist nach SCHADE und STEUL (1998: 7) von den Komponenten Risikoeinstellung, Risikowahrnehmung und Ergebniswahrnehmung bestimmt. Während Risikoeinstellung und Ergebniswahrnehmung in der psychologischen und experimentellen Entscheidungsforschung eine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011069496
This work is based on Prospect theory, which was developed by D. Kahneman and A. Tversky in 1979. This is one the most quoted and best-documented point of view in economic psychology. First of all, it replaces, once again, the notion of utility with value. But value is defined in terms of gains...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005154578
The paper shows the main problems faced by Expected Utility Theory, focusing on the sort of conceptual change introduced by Prospect Theory and suggesting that it could be characterized as a case of incommensurability in the Kuhnean sense. The impact that the coexistence of two rival visions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009650778
We examine the traditional deterrence game between Challenger and Defender. We treat two variations of the game - the complete information game and the one-sided information game where the first mover, Challenger, is the uncertain player. We employ sequential decision theory to analyze the game...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005459141
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009150231
This paper tests whether utility is the same for risk and for uncertainty. This test is critical for models that capture ambiguity aversion through a difference in event weighting between risk and uncertainty, like the multiple priors models and prospect theory. We present a new method to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969007
Deviations from normality in financial return series have led to the development of alternative portfolio selection models. One such model is the downside risk model, whereby the investor maximizes his return given a downside risk constraint. In this paper we empirically observe the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010986470
Risk aversion—but also the higher-order risk preferences of prudence and temperance—are fundamental concepts in the study of economic decision making. We propose a method to jointly measure the intensity of risk aversion, prudence, and temperance. Our theoretical approach is to define risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010987807
Markowitz (Journal of Political Economy 60:151–158, <CitationRef CitationID="CR27">1952</CitationRef>) identified a fourfold pattern of risk preferences in outcome magnitude: When outcomes are large, people are risk averse in gains and risk seeking in losses, but risk preferences reverse when the outcomes are small, with people...</citationref>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010987820
This paper merges the non-expected utility approach (Tversky and Kahneman, J Risk Uncertain 5:297–323, <CitationRef CitationID="CR17">1992</CitationRef> and Quiggin, J Econ Behav Organ 3:323–343, <CitationRef CitationID="CR14">1982</CitationRef>) into Akerlof’s (Quart J Econ 84:488–500, <CitationRef CitationID="CR2">1970</CitationRef>) model of Market for Lemons. We derive the results for different probability...</citationref></citationref></citationref>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010988765