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Oil Prices, External Income, and Growth; Lessons From Jordan
Raissi, Mehdi; Mohaddes, Kamiar - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2011
This paper extends the long-run growth model of Esfahani et al. (2009) to a labor exporting country that receives large inflows of external income?the sum of remittances, FDI and general government transfers?from major oil-exporting economies. The theoretical model predicts real oil prices to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009401201
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Comparative Macroeconomic Dynamics in the Arab World; A Panel Var Approach
Kireyev, Alexei - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2000
The paper presents a comparative analysis of macroeconomic dynamics of 18 Arab countries based on a panel vector autogression estimation. Comparing growth performance, fiscal and current account developments in these countries, the study concludes that (1) in the short run, external and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825740
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Economic Growth and total Factor Productivity in Niger
Nachega, Jean-Claude; Fontaine, Thomson - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2006
This paper investigates empirically the sources of aggregate output growth and the determinants of total factor productivity (TFP) in Niger between 1963 and 2003. A growth accounting analysis indicates that the erosion in output per capita over the sample period is due to the negative growth of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826119
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Public Capital and Output Growth in Portugal; An Empirical Analysis
Ligthart, Johanna Elisabeth - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2000
The paper investigates the growth effects of public capital in Portugal using annual data for the period 1965-95. Both a production function and a vector autoregressive model are estimated. Public capital is shown to be a significant long-term determinant of output growth. The size of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826148
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The Role of Financial Variables in Predicting Economic Activity in the Euro Area
Lombardi, Marco; Espinoza, Raphael A.; Fornari, Fabio - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2009
The U.S. business cycle typically leads the European cycle by a few quarters and this can be used to forecast euro area GDP. We investigate whether financial variables carry additional information. We use vector autoregressions (VARs) which include the U.S. and the euro area GDPs as a minimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008540921
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Estimating Indexes of Coincident and Leading Indicators; An Application to Jordan
Mongardini, Joannes; Saadi-Sedik, Tahsin - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2003
The analysis of coincident and leading indicators can help policymakers gauge the short-term direction of economic activity. While such analysis is well established in advanced economies, it has received relatively little attention in many emerging market and developing economies, reflecting in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605176
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Export instability and economic growth in Nigeria: a time series analysis
Oladipo, Olajide S. - In: International Journal of Economics and Business Research 7 (2014) 4, pp. 476-501
The primary products and commodities provide food and livelihood for families and communities, are sources of raw material, and export earnings for many governments in sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries and most especially, Nigeria. However, over the years, global prices of primary products and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010795463
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Cointegration and causal relationships between energy consumption and output: Assessing the evidence from Australia
Shahiduzzaman, Md; Alam, Khorshed - In: Energy Economics 34 (2012) 6, pp. 2182-2188
In this paper, we describe our investigation of the cointegration and causal relationships between energy consumption … energy, capital and labour as separate inputs of production. The empirical evidence points to a cointegration relationship … between energy and output and implies that energy is an important variable in the cointegration space, as are conventional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010588000
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Infrastructure and productivity in Latin America: is there a relationship in the long run?
Teles, Vladimir Kühl; Mussolini, Caio Cesar - In: Journal of Economic Studies 39 (2012) January, pp. 44-62
(TFP) in the four major Latin American economies: Argentina, Brazil, Chile, and Mexico. Design/methodology/approach – The … this theory, the traditional Johansen methodology was used for testing the cointegration between TFP and physical measures … relationship between infrastructure and economic growth for Argentina, Brazil, Chile, and Mexico between 1950 and 2000, using new …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009421142
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Stock market and economic growth nexus in emerging markets: cointegration and causality analysis
Erdem, Ekrem; Gozbasi, Onur; Ilgun, M. Fatih; … - In: International Journal of Business Forecasting and … 1 (2010) 3/4, pp. 262-274
economic growth for six emerging countries (Malaysia, Turkey, Mexico, Korea, India, and Brazil). To this end, the bounds … testing approach to cointegration and Granger and Toda-Yamamoto causality tests are conducted for quarterly data. The results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010670141