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This paper examines whether deviations from PPP are stationary in the presence of nonlinearity, and whether the adjustment toward PPP is symmetric from above and below. Using alternative nonlinear models, our results support mean reversion and asymmetric adjustment dynamics. We find differences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769039
This paper introduces a time-varying threshold autoregressive model (TVTAR), which is used to examine the persistence of deviations from PPP. We find support for the stationary TVTAR against the unit root hypothesis; however, for some developing countries, we do not reject the TVTAR with a unit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005604859
Politicians and scientists have a strong interest in reliable regional and international comparisons of productivity, income, wages, and social benefits. Such comparisons require meaningful indicators of the regional and international price levels. The computation of such indicators utilizes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010994202
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005013146
In den vergangenen Jahren gab es einen deutlichen Preisauftrieb auf dem Wohnungsmarkt. Dennoch sind die durchschnittlichen Mietpreise in Ostdeutschland heute immer noch geringer als in Westdeutschland. Dieser Artikel untersucht, wodurch die Mietpreise bestimmt werden. Es zeigt sich, dass das...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011186139
The historical evidence suggests a high correlation between changes in the stock of money per unit of output and … changes in prices in the same direction. The goal of this paper is to analyze the correlation between the monetary aggregates …-moment correlation coefficient as a degree of the dependence between the monetary aggregate M3 and the harmonized index of consumer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011227839
This is the fourth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which economists have access for studying both own-country and cross-country linkages. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004999967
Upon entry into the European Union, countries become members of the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU), with a derogation from adopting the euro as their currency (that is, each country joining the EU commits to replace its national currency with the euro, but can choose when to request...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005767345
these and other common features, such as correlation between the mean and variance of relative prices. In such circumstances …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599288
This paper develops an approach for forecasting in Thailand core inflation. The key innovation is to anchor the projections derived from the short-term time-series properties of core inflation to its longer-run evolution. This involves combining a short-term model, which attempts to distill the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605247