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This paper examines whether deviations from PPP are stationary in the presence of nonlinearity, and whether the adjustment toward PPP is symmetric from above and below. Using alternative nonlinear models, our results support mean reversion and asymmetric adjustment dynamics. We find differences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769039
This paper introduces a time-varying threshold autoregressive model (TVTAR), which is used to examine the persistence of deviations from PPP. We find support for the stationary TVTAR against the unit root hypothesis; however, for some developing countries, we do not reject the TVTAR with a unit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005604859
Politicians and scientists have a strong interest in reliable regional and international comparisons of productivity, income, wages, and social benefits. Such comparisons require meaningful indicators of the regional and international price levels. The computation of such indicators utilizes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010994202
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005013146
In den vergangenen Jahren gab es einen deutlichen Preisauftrieb auf dem Wohnungsmarkt. Dennoch sind die durchschnittlichen Mietpreise in Ostdeutschland heute immer noch geringer als in Westdeutschland. Dieser Artikel untersucht, wodurch die Mietpreise bestimmt werden. Es zeigt sich, dass das...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011186139
Using the FEER approach we investigate the long-run equilibrium paths of the real effective exchange rates (REERs) of countries in the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU). In an attempt to address econometric estimation uncertainty, we employ both single-country (Johansen and ARDL)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826283
This is the first of a series of papers that are being written as part of a project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit for studying both own-country and cross-country linkages. In this paper, we estimate a small...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263685
This is the third of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit for studying both own-country and cross-country linkages. In this paper, we estimate a small...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264080
The historical evidence suggests a high correlation between changes in the stock of money per unit of output and … changes in prices in the same direction. The goal of this paper is to analyze the correlation between the monetary aggregates …-moment correlation coefficient as a degree of the dependence between the monetary aggregate M3 and the harmonized index of consumer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011227839
We derive forecast confidence bands using a Global Projection Model covering the United States, the euro area, and Japan. In the model, the price of oil is a stochastic process, interest rates have a zero floor, and bank lending tightening affects the United States. To calculate confidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008559263