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responsible for the stagnation phase that began in approximately 1995. Our findings also show that the decline in labor market … distortions that occurred in Italy during the 1990s alleviated the stagnation effect somewhat and prevented an even more abrupt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010994445
This paper analyzes periods of economic stagnation in a panel of countries. We test if stagnation episodes are … stagnation episodes using multivariate dynamic linear models, fixed-effects logit models, and dynamic random effects probit … models. In addition, we analyze whether the included variables have different impacts on the onset of a stagnation episode …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010856459
have often focused on either stagnation or change as being the more representative image that needs explanation, rarely … its ability to confer legitimacy on the rulers. Change or stagnation has emerged as the outcome of the strategic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010888326
Throughout his life, John Stuart Mill warned contemporaries about stagnation or immobility, a most dangerous phenomenon …, the perils of stagnation have not yet been subject to detailed scrutiny. This paper offers an analysis of the nature and … sources of stagnation as well as its likely effects. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010936683
Rietz (1988) and Barro (2006) subject consumption and dividends to rare disasters in the growth rate. We extend their framework and subject consumption and dividends to rare disasters in the growth persistence. We model growth persistence by means of two hidden types of economic slowdowns:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010937967
The Union Budget remains significant for the agricultural sector in the country for at least the following two reasons. First, the budget comes in the background of an agrarian crisis in the country, persistent since the late nineties, which also coincided with the period of a policy thrust on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010945399
Part II. Crises and Cycles Calculation of the aggregated "consensus" industrial production index has made it possible to date cyclical turning points and to measure the depth and length of the main industrial recessions in Russian Empire/USSR/Russia for the last century and a half. The most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011007709
We develop an estimated model of the U.S. economy in which agents form expectations by continually updating their beliefs regarding the behavior of the economy and monetary policy. We explore the effects of policymakers' misperceptions of the natural rate of unemployment during the late 1960s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010958612
of stagnation or low growth. Comparative case studies of the Great Depression, the Latin American debt crisis of the 1980 … prosperity for a long time? The main conclusion is that stagnation after big financial crises becomes likely when the balance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010925522
of stagnation. It is not in the complete absence of economic growth, and in his weakness, not corresponding to the real … complex not only did not become the engine of growth, but turned into stagnation. It is proved that, despite the importance of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011212251