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Consensus estimates put the half-life of deviations from purchasing power parity (PPP) at about four years (Rogoff, 1996). However, conventional least squares estimates of half-lives are biased downward. Accordingly, as a preferred measure of the persistence of real exchange rate shocks, this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005604970
A definition of selfinformative Bayes carriers or limits is given as a description of an approach to noninformative Bayes estimation in non- and semiparametric models. It takes the posterior w.r.t. a prior as a new prior and repeats this procedure again and again. A main objective of the paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956523
Bayes estimates are derived in multivariate linear models with unknown distribution. The prior distribution is defined using a Dirichlet prior for the unknown error distribution and a ormal-Wishart distribution for the parameters. The posterior distribution for the parameters is determined and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956545
We propose a Bayesian procedure to estimate heteroscedastic variances of the regression error term ω, when the form of heteroscedasticity is unknown. The prior information on ω is based on a Dirichlet distribution, and in the Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling, its proposal density...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011144000
Risk difference is an important measure of effect size in biostatistics, for both randomised and observational studies. The natural way to adjust risk differences for potential confounders is to use an additive binomial model, which is a binomial generalised linear model with an identity link...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010906924
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008533850
In many meta-analysis cases the estimator of the overall effect in independent trials or experiments leads to unjustified significant results. This paper considers trials with two arms where the summary statistic of interest is either the mean difference or the risk difference. By using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010982381
In this article, we explain how to calculate adjusted risk ratios and risk differences when reporting results from logit, probit, and related nonlinear models. Building on Stata’s margins command, we create a new postestimation command, adjrr, that calculates adjusted risk ratios and adjusted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010691932
In this paper we estimate the parameters in the stochastic SIS epidemic model by using pseudo-maximum likelihood estimation (pseudo-MLE) and least squares estimation. We obtain the point estimators and <InlineEquation ID="IEq1"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">$$100 (1-\alpha )\%$$</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"> <math xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"> <mrow> <mn>100</mn> <mo stretchy="false">(</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>-</mo> <mi mathvariant="italic">α</mi> <mo stretchy="false">)</mo> <mo>%</mo> </mrow> </math> </EquationSource> </InlineEquation> confidence intervals as well as <InlineEquation ID="IEq2"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">$$100...</equationsource></inlineequation></equationsource></equationsource></inlineequation>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010992902
Two-sided confidence intervals for a probability <InlineEquation ID="IEq1"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">$$p$$</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"> <math xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"> <mrow> <mi>p</mi> </mrow> </math> </EquationSource> </InlineEquation> under a prescribed confidence level <InlineEquation ID="IEq2"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">$$\gamma $$</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"> <math xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"> <mrow> <mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mi> </mrow> </math> </EquationSource> </InlineEquation> are an elementary tool of statistical data analysis. A confidence interval has two basic quality characteristics: i) exactness, i. e., whether the actual coverage...</equationsource></equationsource></inlineequation></equationsource></equationsource></inlineequation>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010995030