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Empirical tests of the production-smoothing hypothesis have yielded mixed results. In this paper, Donald Allen looks for and finds evidence of seasonal production smoothing in 15 out of 25 manufacturing series and eight out of 10 retail series, using detrended seasonally unadjusted data. The...
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Procyclical productivity plays an important role in many models of aggregate fluctuations. However, recent studies … procyclicality of productivity observed in aggregate data may be understated. Using plant-level microdata, this paper finds that the … component in aggregate productivity. This paper shows that such composition changes may cause a downward bias in industry …
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rates of total factor productivity in distinct consumption- and investment-goods- producing technologies. This model … attributes most of the productivity slowdown of the 1970s to the consumption-goods sector; it suggests that a slowdown in the …
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potential growth, largely reflecting a decline of total factor productivity (TFP) growth; (ii) by contrast, trend growth for the …
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