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Measured productivity is strongly procyclical. Real business cycle theories suggest that actual fluctuations in … productivity are the source of fluctuations in aggregate output. Keynesian theories maintain that fluctuations in aggregate output … to explain the procyclicality of productivity. If observed productivity shocks are true productivity shocks, a function …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005762583
Recently, the export performance of France relative to its own past and relative to a major trading partner, Germany, deteriorated. That deterioration seems related to the geographical destination and product composition of trend exports. Faced with an increase in unit labor costs or in its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769088
productivity in Canada. The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) and its predecessor, the Canada-U.S. Free Trade Agreement … productivity of Canadian industries, the persistence of structural differences between the two countries has prevented convergence … of aggregate labor productivity. While these findings seem to weigh against moving toward a monetary union, they also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769318
This Selected Issues paper attempts to analyze the end-point problem and improve the quality of potential GDP estimates for Germany. It projects that Germany’s potential GDP growth will slow over the coming decade, mainly because of declining labor input. The paper focuses on a long-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825173
expenditures, innovation counts, and productivity figures. We find, among other things, the following: the pattern and nature of … in some sub-groups have had a greater impact on output and productivity than others and, moreover, the key players have … between technology shocks and employment, the role of technology in cross-country productivity differences, and the part …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008545925
managerial technology shock, output, productivity and hours significantly increase in the short run, second, these types of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008553220
A puzzle in international macroeconomics is that observed real exchange rates are highly volatile. Standard international real business cycle (IRBC) models cannot reproduce this fact. We show that TFP processes for the U.S. and the "rest of the world," is characterized by a vector error...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008559267
Empirical tests of the production-smoothing hypothesis have yielded mixed results. In this paper, Donald Allen looks for and finds evidence of seasonal production smoothing in 15 out of 25 manufacturing series and eight out of 10 retail series, using detrended seasonally unadjusted data. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005519804
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005526400
Procyclical productivity plays an important role in many models of aggregate fluctuations. However, recent studies … procyclicality of productivity observed in aggregate data may be understated. Using plant-level microdata, this paper finds that the … component in aggregate productivity. This paper shows that such composition changes may cause a downward bias in industry …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428281