Egy racionális várakozásokon alapuló modell igen erős következtetéseket ad a nominálárfolyam monetáris szigorítás utáni viselkedéséről: nagymértékű kezdeti erősödés, amit aztán fokozatos gyengülés követ. Ez a kép erősen ellentmond a tényleges megfigyeléseknek,...

We propose and solve a small-scale New-Keynesian model with Markov sunspot shocks that move the economy between a targeted-inflation regime and a deflation regime and fit it to data from the U.S. and Japan. For the U.S. we find that adverse demand shocks have moved the economy to the zero lower...

We propose a theory of monetary policy and macroprudential interventions in financial markets. We focus on economies with nominal rigidities in goods and labor markets and subject to constraints on monetary policy, such as the zero lower bound or fixed exchange rates. We identify an aggregate...

This paper uses the occasion of the 25th anniversary of Basil Moore's book, Horizontalists and Verticalists, to reassess the theory of endogenous money. The paper distinguishes between horizontalists, verticalists, and structuralists. It argues Moore's horizontalist representation of endogenous...

The paper analyses initiatives undertaken to contain the impact of the sovereign debt crisis and improve economic governance in emu and examines further some fundamental questions about emu’s sustainability looking at emu’s performance for far and at its main strengths and weaknesses. A...

This paper proposes a new evaluation approach of the class of small-scale `hybrid' New Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (NK-DSGE) models typically used in monetary policy and business cycle analysis. The novelty of our method is that the empirical assessment of the NK-DSGE model...

One of the most striking consequences of the recent episode of sovereign debt market stress in the Eurozone has been the increase in the share of public debt held by the domestic sector in fragile economies. First, we identify the shocks that explain most of the variation in this share in an...

This paper assesses Revolutionary and Napoleonic wartime economic policy. Suspension of gold convertibility in 1797 allowed the Bank of England to nurture British monetary orthodoxy. The Order of the Privy Council suspended gold payments on Bank of England notes and afforded simultaneous...

World financial crisis unveiled the precarious position of modern monetary system based on a centralized fiat money supply and fractional-reserve banking. The scale of the crisis and the threat of major price inflation, which has already become a reality on commodities markets, confirm the...

Banks are supposed to respond to imperfect information in credit markets. They are thought to access private information and to create additional information through credit granting.This means two things. First, mandatory accounting information is not sufficient to create a state of perfect...