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monthly to daily observations on exchange rates. Thus the basic thrust of the paper is to analyse the forecasting accuracy of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005619306
It is frequently claimed that the current EUR/USD exchange rate is too high and that a depreciation of the EUR against the USD would contribute to relieve the Eurozone economy from the current state of persistent crisis. Evidence provided by the a/simmetrie annual econometric model suggests that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010908120
convenient framework for estimation by OLS. Empirically, out-of sample forecasting exercises demonstrate its superiority over a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666602
We use an impulse response methodology to analyse the effects of U.S. macroeconomic news announcements on the volatilities of three major exchange rates (Euro, Pound Sterling and Yen). Our data consist of 5 minute returns on exchange rates as well as the times of news announcements. In the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009195486
We carry out a large-scale investigation of technical trading rules in the foreign exchange market, using daily data over a maximum of forty years for thirty developed and emerging market currencies. Employing a stepwise test to safeguard against data-snooping bias and examining over 21,000...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083254
During the past five years or so, most East Asian economies including the Philippines experienced a rising level of foreign exchange reserves and rapidly appreciating currencies both in nominal and real terms. One cause has been the resurgence of capital flows, which makes the issue of how to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009363497
Purpose – There has been significant interest in the classification of exchange rate regimes in order to investigate a wide range of hypotheses. Studies of the effects of exchange rate regimes on crises and other aspects of economic performance can have important implications for policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010611019
This paper investigates the degree of both foreign exchange rate and interest rate exposure of industry level portfolios in the G7. Our paper draws on the efficient market hypothesis and examines the extent of unexpected foreign exchange (and interest rate) exposure rather than the standard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008487729
This study investigates the impact of domestic and foreign currency-valued exchange rate volatility on the export and import demand functions with reference to Pakistan’s trading partners. We use GARCH-based exchange rate volatilities and the least-squares dummy variable technique with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010861908
forecasting models reduces forecast errors compared with a single model. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010903380