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This paper compares relative unit labour cost developments in the countries of the euro-area since the beginning of the European Monetary Union (EMU) both with historical developments and with intra-regional unit labour cost developments in the United States of America and Germany. To this end,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005405234
Using a modified version of the model presented by Belke and Gros (2007), we analyze the stability of adjustment in a currency union. Using econometric estimates for parameter values we check the stability conditions for the 11 original EMU countries and Greece. We found significant instability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005041948
In this paper we investigate if the actual debate on divergences in the Euro area is indeed a reason to be concerned. We argue that the standard definition of divergence in terms of standard deviations is too narrow to capture the persistence in deviations in output, prices and wages. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005071359
This paper compares relative unit labor cost developments in the countries of the euro area since the beginning of the European Monetary Union (EMU) both with historical developments and with intraregional developments in the United States and Germany. Unit labor cost indices for the U.S. states...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005048659
Die Wachstumsschwäche in einigen europäischen Ländern wie Portugal und Italien in der ersten Hälfte dieses Jahrzehnts sowie anhaltend hohe Inflationsraten und ein Bauboom in Spanien haben zu einer Debatte darüber geführt, ob sich möglicherweise die einzelnen Länder der Eurozone...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005019130
Using a modified version of the model presented by Belke and Gros (2007), we analyze the stability of adjustment in a currency union. Using econometric estimates for parameter values we check the stability conditions for the 11 original EMU countries and Greece. We found significant instability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008531663
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008776362
Using unit labor cost (ULC) data from Euro area countries as well as US States and German Laender we investigate inflation convergence using different approaches, namely panel unit root tests, cointegration tests and error-correction models. All in all we cannot reject convergence of ULC growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005243293
The German unemployment rate shows strong signs if non-stationarity over the course of the previous decades. This is in line with an insider-outsider model under full hysteresis. We applied a "theory-guided view" to the data using the structural VAR model as developed by Balmaseda, Dolado and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005068660
We estimate the sticky information Phillips curve model of Mankiw and Reis (2002) using survey expectations of professional forecasters from four major European economies. Our estimates imply that inflation expectations in France, Germany and the United Kingdom are updated about once a year, in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005068908