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Constructing bootstrap confidence intervals for impulse response functions (IRFs) from structural vector autoregression … can deteriorate severely, however, if the bootstrap IRFs are biased. We document an apparently common source of bias in … generally unrecognized because it only affects the bootstrap estimates of the error variance, not the original OLS estimates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010875212
Constructing bootstrap confidence intervals for impulse response functions (IRFs) from structural vector autoregression … can deteriorate severely, however, if the bootstrap IRFs are biased. In this paper, we document an apparently common … scale adjustment. This bias is often unrecognized because it only affects the bootstrap estimates of the error variance, not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008550553
escalation of inflation. The political factors such as government instability, corruption, bureaucracy, and internal conflicts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011108303
We investigate the sources of macroeconomic (output and inflation) variability in selected European countries within … currently members of the European Monetary Union and non-members. As for inflation, on the contrary, regional factors are more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011185978
Modern theories of inflation incorporate a vertical long-run Phillips curve and are usually estimated using techniques … that ignore the non-stationary behaviour of inflation. Consequently, the estimates obtained are imprecise and are unable to … distinguish between competing models of inflation and test the veracity of a vertical long-run Phillips curve. We estimate a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005744361
by movements in inflation and the business cycle. Consequently, based on our data, we find little evidence of a pro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005697713
particular, we find that commodity price shocks explain a large share of cyclical movements in inflation. Neutral technology …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008876226
This paper clarifies the empirical source of the debate on the effect of technology shocks on hours worked. We find that the contrasting conclusions from levels and differenced VAR specifications can be explained by a small, but important, low frequency co-movement between hours worked and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008617068
particular, we find that commodity price shocks explain a large share of cyclical movements in inflation. Neutral technology …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009025044
We extend the empirical SVAR literature on real exchange rates by extracting a common stochastic trend in productivity, interpreted as a permanent world technology shock. Overall, we find that innovations to world technology constitute an important, albeit not the dominant, source of movements...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009397216