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.14 percentage-point higher unemployment rate at ages 25-29 and 0.03 percentage points higher at ages 30-34. The persistence of this … worker who experiences a one-percentage-point higher unemployment rate while the worker is 16-24 years old has a 0 … rigidity is constructed and the index is shown to have positive correlation with the persistence. Moderating macroeconomic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011095493
persistence. This view is questioned in the paper using German data on unemployment. A new class of time-series models, the … able to generate fragile equilibria. For instance, in this literature the natural unemployment rate is allowed to shift … over time depending on past unemployment. Actually, many European unemployment series seem to exhibit a unit root or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666959
consistent with existing theories of unemployment hysteresis that focus on depreciation of human capital and search activity …On the basis of macro data from 10 OECD countries, I find that the job vacancy rate outperforms the unemployment rate … as a reliable measure of domestic inflationary pressure. Moreover, while the rate of unemployment affects inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005758298
This paper estimates a stylized search and matching model on data for Australia covering the period 1978-2008. Using Bayesian methods we find that the model does a fairly good job in replicating the data. Surprisingly, we find a large value for the worker’s bargaining power and low vacancy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259078
differences: (1) transition rates from unemployment to employment (UE) were lower by a factor of 5 and inflow rates from … employment to unemployment (EU) were lower by a factor of 4 in Germany. (2) The volatility of the UE rate was equal but the EU … rate was 2.3 times more volatile in Germany. (3) In Germany EU flows contributed 60 − 70% to the unemployment volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259260
−2004 uncovers three stylized differences: (1) Germany’s mean transition rates from unemployment to employment (UE) were lower by a … factor of 5 and transition rates from employment to unemployment (EU) were lower by a factor of 4. (2) The volatility of the … contributed 60−70% to unemployment volatility, whereas in the U.S. they contributed only 30−40%. Using a search and matching model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009223332
In recent years a large theoretical and empirical literature has emerged on hysteresis in unemployment. This paper … less severe form of hysteresis, called persistence, emerges quite readily from models with reasonable assumptions. The … explain hysteresis. The review finds that while the assumptions required to generate full hysteresis are somewhat extreme, a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125116
What explains the persistence of unemployment? The literature on hysteresis, which is based on unit root testing in … autoregressive models, consists of a vast number of univariate studies, i.e. that analyze unemployment series in isolation, but few … multivariate analyses that focus on the sources of hysteresis. As a result, this question remains largely unanswered. This paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010690214
This work is a PhD dissertation, written at the Department of Economics, McGill University. The thesis offers a new framework for inflation as a process of restructuring. Contrary to existing theories of inflation, which tend to take structure and institutions as given for the purpose of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789620
n this paper we develop the Generalize Taylor Economy (GTE) in which there are many sectors with overlapping contracts of different lengths. We are able to show that even in economies with the same average contract length, monetary shocks will be more persistent when there are longer contracts....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005537478