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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005300108
Purpose - This paper aims to increase understanding of the (time-varying) relationship between exchange rates and stock prices at the individual firm level. Rather than analyzing the impact of exchange rate movements on firm value by regressing multinationals’ stock returns on exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010757351
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We examine the relationship between financial crisis exchange rate variability and equity return volatility for US multinationals. Empirical analysis of the major financial crises of the last decades reveals that stock return variability increases significantly in the aftermath of a crisis, even...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008484693
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This paper reviews the empirical literature on foreign exchange rate expectations. Prominent issues are the forward premium puzzle, expectations formation in financial markets, heterogeneity of expectations, market microstructure, time-varying risk premiums and forecast performance. Although...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005142990
This paper combines survey forecasts with a heterogeneous agent model to examine the dispersion of expectations of participants in the foreign exchange market. We find distinct variations in the level of dispersion and document that dispersion arises because of the combined effect of market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010871040
Using a large, previously unexplored international dataset of market expectations that covers a broad range of deposits, this paper presents a wealth of empirical evidence on the behavior of the term structure of interest rates in an international perspective. We find that our survey forecasts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008474097
This paper analyzes the sources of the differential beliefs of market participants in the foreign exchange market and their relative role in forming exchange rate expectations. We find that there are distinct periods of high and low dispersion and document that dispersion arises because of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008474099