Motivated by growing evidence of nonlinear mean-reverting behavior in real exchange rates, this paper investigates the underlying dynamics in the context of a threshold vector error correction model (TVECM) of nominal exchange rate and relative prices. Unlike univariate models, our nonlinear...

When the spot price and production risk are jointly normally distributed, the mean-variance approach has little theoretical justification. The authors use Taylor approximations instead and show the three results. One, farmers hedge less than expected production when the futures price is less...

The authors propose a new model of trade between developing and advanced economies to capture the effects of important asymmetries in the organizations of their industries. This model demonstrates how the industrial structure of a developing economy can evolve to produce what the authors call...