A proportional hazard model is employed to exploit micro relationships between household housing price expectation and probability to sell (the latter is inversely related to the property owning spells). The primary data source is from 14 yearsí Singapore condominium transaction data. A...

In this paper, a dynamic stock flow model is modified and applied to the Singapore private housing market. Two empirical models are then constructed, which offer an explanation for the dynamic patterns of both real private housing prices and new housing construction. In the long run, movements...

ERES:conference

A new housing choice forecasting model is developed here to answer a practical question: how to forecast housing demand at a disaggregate level. Being different from the previous housing choice models, this model is derived from housing sub-market structure based on a random utility approach....

This paper gives a definition of urban owner-occupier housing sub-market structure. A dynamic stock flow approach is applied to this structure to understand its short-term equilibrium properties and long-term dynamic process. The paper concludes by investigating the connections between urban...

It has been demonstrated that the real estate market disciplines irrational price premiums. However, the persistence of price premiums begs the question of what causes price premiums in the first place. This paper seeks to examine two explanations for price premiums—the conventional...

Recent real estate literature has not only proposed a few theories to explain the puzzling macro feature of the positive correlation between price and transaction volume, but also attempted to identify the causal relationships between them. However, there is little empirical evidence to...

[abstract missing - contribution appeared in the programme]

Political instability may weaken investors' belief in property rights, putting the investors in fear that part of the investment may be wasted due to poor protection. As a result, the investors are unwilling to pay a premium for the security of rights when facing political uncertainty. This...