A new housing choice forecasting model is developed here to answer a practical question: how to forecast housing demand at a disaggregate level. Being different from the previous housing choice models, this model is derived from housing sub-market structure based on a random utility approach....

This paper gives a definition of urban owner-occupier housing sub-market structure. A dynamic stock flow approach is applied to this structure to understand its short-term equilibrium properties and long-term dynamic process. The paper concludes by investigating the connections between urban...

It has been demonstrated that the real estate market disciplines irrational price premiums. However, the persistence of price premiums begs the question of what causes price premiums in the first place. This paper seeks to examine two explanations for price premiums—the conventional...

There is likely to be considerable cross- and within-region variation in housing wealth. This paper examines how housing wealth has varied in the United Kingdom over the boom and bust period of 1983-93. It also analyzes, for the period 1989-93, the relationship between housing wealth, household...

This study examines the potential of a two-order spatiotemporal autoregressive model with a Bayesian heteroskedasticity robust procedure in modeling strata-titled Singapore office unit transaction prices and in constructing transaction-based disaggregate office price indexes. The model reduces...

[abstract missing - contribution appeared in the programme]

Recent real estate literature has not only proposed a few theories to explain the puzzling macro feature of the positive correlation between price and transaction volume, but also attempted to identify the causal relationships between them. However, there is little empirical evidence to...

Political instability may weaken investors' belief in property rights, putting the investors in fear that part of the investment may be wasted due to poor protection. As a result, the investors are unwilling to pay a premium for the security of rights when facing political uncertainty. This...

In Singapore, the public resale housing market is an active second-hand housing market, whereby previously subsidised new public housing units were being transacted at market prices. In contrast to the private housing price determinants that have been identified in the international literature,...

By splitting the spatial effects into building and neighborhood effects, this paper develops a two order spatio-temporal autoregressive model to deal with both the spatio-temporal autocorrelations and the heteroscedasticity problem arising from the nature of multi-unit residential real estate...