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This paper contains a statistical description of the whole U.S. forward rate curve (FRC), based on data from the period 1990-1996. We find that the average deviation of the FRC from the spot rate grows as the square- root of the maturity, with a proportionality constant which is comparable to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005413172
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004968301
We will develop an efficient method for estimating a smooth nonnegative forward rate sequence using the market price of riskless bonds. This method is an improvement of the classical Carleton–Cooper's method based on standard least square method, which often generates a non-smooth forward rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004971734
The paper focuses on the market equilibrium conditions in forward exchange quotes. By careful analysis of the market arbitrage conditions, market supply and demand, we construct the equilibrium ranges for bid and ask forward quotes separately. We present our analysis in a bid-ask cost structure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004971809
We review the main changes in the interbank market after the financial crisis started in August 2007. In particular, we focus on the fixed income market and we analyse the most relevant empirical evidences regarding the divergence of the existing basis between interbank rates with different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260721
In this paper, we present a multi-factor continuous-time autoregressive moving-average (CARMA) model for the short and forward interest rates. This model is able to present an adequate statistical description of the short and forward rate dynamics. We show that this is a tractable term structure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010883222
This paper examines the efficiency of the forward yen/dollar market using micro survey data. Conventional tests of unbiasedness do not correspond directly to the zero-profit condition. Instead, we use the survey data to calculate potential profits of individual forecasters based on a natural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010843066
In his book (1993) Kariya proposed a government bond (GB) pricing model that simultaneously values individual fixed-coupon (non-defaultable) bonds of different coupon rates and maturities via a discount function approach, and Kariya and Tsuda (Financ Eng Japanese Mark 1:1–20, <CitationRef CitationID="CR11">1994</CitationRef>) verified...</citationref>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010989073
The optimum behavior of a competitive risk-averse international trader who supplies or demands commodities invoiced in foreign currency is examined when his profits are subject to several forms of risk: production, domestic cost, the exchange rate and the commodity price. The focus of our study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010958337
We examine several alternative models of the UK gilt yield curve using daily data for the period 12 July 1996–10 February 2010. We select the best models according to two criteria: low out of sample errors in pricing bonds and low curvature of the implied forward rate curve function. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010582662