Estimation du prix d'une option sur maximum proche de sa maturite.

The Value-at-Risk (VAR) measurements are widely applied to estimate exposure to market risks. The traditional approaches to VAR computations - the variance-covariance method, historical simulation, Monte Carlo simulation, and stress-testing - do not provide satisfactory evaluation of possible...

We describe in this paper a method allowing to order submodels in linear regression. A real function is attached to each submodel, allowing to graphically compare and order them. Our procedure defines an objective function depending on two factors (lack of fit and multicolinearity) with the...

As the structure of consumer preferences plays a crucial role in the analysis of differentiated product markets, estimation of demand systems is a sensitive task. This paper contributes to this project in two ways. First, we develop a method to deal with the simultaneous choice of an equipment...

The ARFIMA model has become a popular approach for analyzing time series that exhibit long-range dependence. For the Gaussian case, there has been substantial advances in the area of likelihood-based inference, including development of the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood...

We investigate local strong rationality (LSR) in a one step forward looking univariate model with memory one. Eductive arguments are used to determine when common knowledge (CK) that the solution is near some perfect foresight path is sufficient to trigger complete coordination on that path...

In this paper we consider a new analytic center cutting plane method in a projective space. We prove the efficiency estimates for the general schemeand show that these results can be used in the analysis of a feasibility problem, the variational inequality problem and the problem of constrained...

The adjustment for the cedent's retained risk after excess-of-loss reinsurance with reinstatements is calculated. Therefore we need a multivariate aggregate claims distribution. This distribution is easily given by a multivariate extension of Panjer's recursion. Numerical examples show the...

The adjustment for the cedent's retained risk after excess-of-loss reinsurance with reinstatements is calculated. Therefore we need a multivariate aggregate claims distribution. This distribution is easily given by a multivariate extension of Panjer's recursion. Numerical examples show the...

This paper investigates the evolution of the (conditional) volatility of returns on three Scandinavian markets (Finland, Norway and Sweden) over the turbulent period of the past decade, namely the overlapping periods of financial liberalisation, drastically changing macroeconomic conditions and...