Showing 1 - 10 of 1,520
In this article, the GDP deflator is predicted starting from econometric models of historical errors of forecasts based on Dobrescu macromodel. In Romania, a significant relationship between GDP deflator and GDP index predictions was not confirmed. However, there is an important dependence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010858385
The study of the economic processes and phenomena using time-series is an important source of information for the analyses carried out both at the microeconomic level, and those made at the macroeconomic level. Within the framework of this work are presented a series of theoretical aspects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010859960
The purpose of this paper is to present the framework for statistical analyzing the monetary transmission mechanism: the process through which monetary policy decisions are transmitted into changes in real GDP, and inflation; and to evaluate the transmission mechanism in the monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010859995
The present paper exposes an overview of the state-of-the-art of R statistical software in the official statistics in Romania, predominantly in the social statistics. Examples on data analysis and econometric models of Small Area Estimation successfully completed are given.The scientific...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010860013
In this paper the Kullback-Leibler notion of discrepancy (Kullback and Leibler, 1951) is used to propose a measure of multigroup segregation over a set of organizational units within a multivariate framework. Among the main results of the paper it is established that the Mutual Information index...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010861831
In this paper article, two strategies based on the econometric approach are proposed in order to improve the forecast accuracy of GDP index in Romania. First, the index is predicted starting from an econometric model that reflects the relationship between the GDP index and the GDP deflator....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010901893
Due to the growing concern about the labour market situation of young people in Europe, this paper analysis the effective role played by real output growth in stimulating job creation. To reach this goal, one strand of this analysis empirically investigates the real output growth effects on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010901899
The simultaneous equation econometric model has recently come under increasing, attack as a policy analysis and forecasting tool However, traditional methods of choosing among competing models rely heavily on the use of summary Statistics It IS shown, by example, that choosing a model With...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010919885
Quarterly and monthly three-equation models designed to predict (a) wholesale cash prices for fresh pork bellies at Chicago, (b) quarterly consumption, and (c) end-of-quarter stocks were developed and fitted, based on data for 1957-71. The major methodological contribution was a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010921968
The partial privatization of the Russian energy industry with retained state regulation has made it impossible to produce targeted market models. In the paper the paths of the 2001 and 2008 reforms in the electricity and gas industries and in the associated petroleum gas market are discussed....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010943333