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competence hypothesis (Heath & Tversky, 1991), this pattern derives from favorable perceptions of one's competence. In most past … tests of the competence hypothesis, ambiguity is confounded with personal controllability and the source of the ambiguity (e … effects of both ambiguity aversion and competence. In Experiment 1, participants preferred an unambiguous chance-based option …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008550531
in the domain of risky choice, and many theories of ambiguity aversion deal with ambiguity only in this context. However … choice. Subjects imagine they are expecting a package and must choose between two delivery options. Some delivery times are … service preferred when it was the unambiguous option. Ambiguity aversion is not specific to risk, but can also occur in other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010559826
Denna uppsats redogör för en empirisk undersökning av realismen hos odds från ett stort spelbolag. Undersökningen tillämpar teorier från psykologisk beslutsforskning och beteendeinriktad ekonomisk vetenskap. Baserat på analyser av ett unikt empiriskt material bestående av odds från de...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005750498
Here we investigated whether, given equivalent supporting evidence, we judge self-selected hypotheses differently from those selected by an external source. On each trial of a probabilistic reasoning task requiring no retrieval from memory, participants rated the probability of a focal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010572120
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010539462
accurate beliefs.  While some of this deviation is explained by overconfidence, 34% of it can only be explained by the control …We document a lower bound for thecontrol premium: agents' willingness to pay to control their own payoff. Participants … will pay off.  Participants are 20% more likely to choose to control their payoff than a group of payoff-maximizers with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010678028
run' entrants and risk-seeking behavior. A psychological explanation is that people (entrepreneurs) are overconfident in …–following Heath and Tversky (1991)–that people seek ambiguity when the source of uncertainty is related to their competence …. Overconfidence, as such, plays no role. This hypothesis is confirmed in an experimental study that also documents the phenomenon of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005772407
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008526543
relationship between competence and self-awareness explains a great deal of the overconfidence observed among economic agents. More … specifically, overconfidence is inversely proportional to competence. Through a series of experiments and analyses of field data … competence in a given domain. However, individuals can only judge their competence if they are sufficiently competent. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005685504
Empirical studies of horse race betting in the US, the UK, Australia, and Germany have empirically established the so … assumption of a homogeneous bettor population with a preference for risk. However, the risk-love explanation has also been … be the market equilibrium outcome even with risk neutral bettors and even if the median estimate is correct. We provide …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005256324