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This paper discusses the estimation of models of the term structure of interest rates. After reviewing the term structure models, specifically the Nelson-Siegel Model and Affine Term- Structure Model, this paper estimates the terms structure of Treasury bond yields for the United States with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008727797
Laplace’s definition of probability in terms of equi-possible outcomes as well as to von Mises’ frequentist approach. On the … opposite, Kolmogorov’s analytical axiomatization of probability theory enables a priori and a posteriori probabilities to … probability. Therefore, only in Kolmorogorov’s formalism is statistical inference rigorously framed. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004998514
This paper investigates the generalized parametric measurement methods of aggregate operational risk in compliance with the regulatory capital standards for operational risk in the New Basel Capital Accord ("Basel II"). Operational risk is commonly defined as the risk of loss resulting from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768778
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This paper develops a comprehensive new framework to measure and analyze sovereign risk. Since traditional macroeconomic vulnerability indicators and accounting-based measures do not address risk in a comprehensive and forward-looking way, the contingent claims approach is used to construct a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605090
, as conveyed by an implied risk-neutral probability distribution, from option prices for the dollar-euro exchange rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605330
allowed significant probability for right tail events. Given explosive trends in other commodities prices, depreciating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825666
This paper defines a set of banking stability measures which take account of distress dependence among the banks in a system, thereby providing a set of tools to analyze stability from complementary perspectives by allowing the measurement of (i) common distress of the banks in a system, (ii)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826223