This paper surveys balance of payments constrained growth models from Thirlwall’s original contribution in 1979 to the latest tests of the model using cointegration techniques. Historical antecedents of the model are explored (e.g. the Harrod trade multiplier; dual gap analysis; Prebisch’s...

This article examines two alternative U S stockpiling objectives In the context of volatile world markets The first objective IS to prevent the US soybean price from falling below a support price and the second IS to bound the U S soybean price by a set of support and release prices A size limit...

In a context where credit is squeezed, the shocks to which household are exposed impact on child work. This article analyses the impact of a drought on the Morondava rural district in Madagascar in 2006. This is a rice growing area. We used data from the surveys conducted by the Réseau des...

This study complements OECD analyses on commodity price volatility by providing quantitative assessments of the impact of two structural changes that a number of market observers have identified as contributing to world wheat market price volatility. The factors examined relate to changes in...

The eleven papers collected in this volume present the results of the research activity undertaken by the participants in the project -The return to Keynes. Speculation and stabilization policies: money and commodities- financed by the Italian Ministry of Education (PRIN 2008). They focus on...

This paper addresses the seasonal agricultural commodity price stabilization problem both with and without price bands using a spatial and temporal supernetwork framework. The problem is formulated as an extension of the classic spatial price equilibrium problem and solved with the gradient...

The surge in global commodity prices of the past few years has presented a tremendous development challenge for South Asian countries. The large loss of income from the terms of trade shock has worsened macroeconomic balances, fueled rapid inflation, and hurt growth. Although commodity prices...

This paper employs cohort technique and Consumer Expenditure Survey data to construct average age-profiles of consumption and income over the working lives of typical households across different education and occupation groups. Using these profiles, we estimate a structural model of optimal...

This paper examines the interaction between capital flows and international reserve holdings in the context of increasing financial integration. For emerging markets the sensitivity of reserves to net capital flows was negative in the 1980s, but became positive after the Asian crisis when these...