This discussion paper will briefly examine the concepts of risk and uncertainty, and the relevance of risk to decision making about animal health programs. Various techniques for dealing with uncertain cash flows will then be discussed, with particular emphasis on three extensions to the...

‘Risk’ has become a central theme in 21st-century policy thinking. The fact that individuals and families are vulnerable to a wide range of social, economic and other risks, and that collective action is needed to help reduce and manage these risks, has long been important in social...

Questions relating to the allocation and management of risk have played a central role in the development of the National Water Initiative, particularly as it has applied to the Murray-Darling Basin. The central issues of efficiency and equity in allocations are best understood by considering...

Dual approaches have proved their value in many areas of economic analysis. Until recently, however, they have been virtually ignored in the analysis of choice under uncertainty.In this paper, we present a dual formulation of choice under uncertainty based on a few simple assumptions about...

The effective design and implementation of interventions that reduce vulnerability and poverty require a solid understanding of underlying poverty dynamics and associated behavioral responses. Stochastic and dynamic benefit streams can make it difficult for the poor to learn the value of such...

The curvature properties of the indirect utility function imply a set of refutable implications in the form of comparative static results and symmetric relations for the competitive firm operating under uncertainty. These hypotheses, first derived and empirically tested under output price...

In this paper, the empirical performance of several preference functionals is assessed using individual and group experimental data. We investigate if there is a risky choice theory that fits group decisions better than alternative theories, and if there are significant differences between...

The paper discusses synthetically an epistemological question in the field of economics: how to translate a real problem into formal terms without a substantial loss of significance for its solution in policy making. The discussion will challenge the plausibility of the basic assumption of...

Aumann–Serrano (J Polit Econ 116:810–836, <CitationRef CitationID="CR6">2008</CitationRef>) and Foster–Hart (J Polit Econ 117:785–814, <CitationRef CitationID="CR15">2009</CitationRef>) suggest two new riskiness measures, each of which enables one to elicit a complete and objective ranking of gambles according to their riskiness. These riskiness measures were created with a...</citationref></citationref>

Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of natural disasters. Adaptation investments are required in order to limit the projected increase in natural disaster risks. Adaptation measures can reduce risk partially or completely eliminate risk. The literature on...