The bond portfolio problem is viewed as a multistage decision problem in which buy, sell, and hold decisions are made at successive (discrete) points in time. Normative models of this decision problem tend to become very large, particularly when its dynamic structure and the uncertainty of...

This paper presents a forecasting technique which attempts to combine the advantages of both time series analysis and multiple regression. In this two-stage technique, an exponentially smoothed moving average model is used to forecast values of the dependent variable and/or selected independent...

This paper uses a model of the valuation of bonds bearing call options, together with observed market yields on callable bonds, to infer information about the uncertainty associated with interest rate expectations. A dynamic programming solution of the model simultaneously determines both the...

The Foundations of Pension Finance presents in two authoritative volumes a selection of the most important published articles on systems of retirement income provision – an area that is of vital importance for the future of the economy in general and the financial system in particular.