This note, employing a GARCH model, finds a positive and significant relationship between the level and variability of monthly inflation in India in the period 1957-2005, with causation running from inflation to uncertainty about future inflation, as hypothesized by Friedman. To the extent that...

The recent development literature stresses that countries that receive large revenues from natural resource endowments typically raise less revenue from domestic taxation, and that this creates governance problems because the lower domestic tax effort reduces the incentive for the public...

This letter presents estimates of a stable long-run money demand function in Italy over the period 1861-1980. Results using the Johansen procedure of cointegration indicate a unique, long-run demand function for currency and the broad money supply. In each case, the real income and interest rate...

Southeast Asia exhibits a bias towards intra-regional trade but not one that is out of line with the size, growth rates and geographical proximity of these countries; there is more trade bias than exhibited by the EU but less than that of NAFTA and, unlike in the EU and NAFTA, southeast Asian...

Evidence is presented in favour of a Fisher effect between treasury bill interest rates and inflation in Mexico between 1978-94. The two series appear to be cointegrated and a unit proportional relationship between them would appear to exist such that treasury bills rates respond fully to...

The Johansen procedure of cointegration is used to test the hypothesis of a stationary relationship between real money balances, real income, interest rates and real stock prices in Germany for the period 1960-89, and an error correction representation of the data is used to explain the...

The long-run tendency for government expenditure to grow relative to GNP, Wagner's law, is tested for six European countries using data from around the mid-19th century to 1913. With few exceptions the results suggest that: nominal and real GNP, nominal and real government expenditure, and...

This paper asks whether the adoption of fiscal responsibility laws (FRLs) has improved fiscal performance in nine emerging market economies, as measured by developments in their key fiscal balances. Examining these economies alone, their fiscal performance improved on average between the period...

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to provide an overview of current progress in financial sector reform and outline some of the remaining challenges. Design/methodology/approach – The paper presents an analytical survey of recent developments. Findings – The reform agenda is broad,...

The long-run money-inflation relation is re-examined in the context of De Grauwe and Polan's (2005) recent claim that the monetary aggregates are of no use for monetary analysis at low rates of inflation, and Nelson's (2002) counterclaim that in cross-country analysis money should be defined as...