This paper considers predictive tests for structural change in models estimated via Generalized Method of Moments. Our analysis extends earlier work by Ghysels and Hall (1990a) by allowing for the instability to occur at an unknown point in the sample. We analyze various statistics based on...

The standard testing procedures for seasonal unit roots developed so far have been based0501nly on time invariant ARMA processes with AR polynomials involving seasonal differencing. One attractive alternative is to employ periodic ARMA models in which the coefficients are allowed to vary with...

A generalized predictive testing procedure for structural stability in nonlinear dynamic simultaneous equations models is presented. It has several attractive features: (1) the tests are based on easy-to-compute predicted residuals; (2) the prediction subsample can be arbitrarily small; (3) only...