The modelling and forecasting of exchange rates and their volatility has important implications for many issues in economics and finance. This paper compares the ability of Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity, Autoregressive and Mean models to forecast the magnitude of change in 19...

The central focus of this paper is to provide an initial exploratory examination of ex post time-varying beta estimation, modeling and asset pricing tests. In particular, these issues are investigated using a sample of monthly data on Australian industry portfolios over the nineteen-year period...

A recent addition to the ARCH family of econometric models was introduced by Ding, Granger and Engle (1993) wherein the power term by which the data is transformed was estimated within the model rather than being imposed by the researcher. This paper considers the ability of the Power GARCH...

The use of conditionally heteroscedastic models to model time varying volatility has become commonplace in the empirical finance literature. Ding, Granger and Engle (1993) suggested a model which extends the ARCH class of models to analysing a wider class of power transformations than simply...