This paper address the extent of capital mobility and foreign debt sustainability in Turkey over the 1962-2003 period by examining the relationship between saving and investment, and imports and exports, respectively. The empirical investment is based on cointegration, error correction models,...

Purpose – The aim of this paper is to prove the validity of Wagner's hypothesis. Design/methodology/approach – The paper examines the validity of Wagner's hypothesis with annual data for Turkey over 1950-2005 period. Findings – The empirical results using the ARDL bounds tests of...

The sustainability of the Turkish budget deficits as well as the dynamics of government revenues and expenditures in controlling the size of the deficit is examined using annual data from 1968 to 2004. The findings support the existence of a long-run relation between government revenues and...

We test the validity of the Dutch disease hypothesis by examining the relationship between real oil prices and real exchange rates in a sample of fourteen oil exporting countries. Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds tests of cointegration support the existence of a stable relationship...

The response of the current account to monetary and fiscal shocks and real oil price shocks are examined using quarterly data for the United Kingdom over the flexible exchange rate period. We find statistical support for the existence of long-run asymmetries in the current account response to...

This study examines the relationship between savings and investment for 26 transition economies using a panel data set covering the 1991 to 2002 period. Estimates of the saving coefficient based on cross-sectional, fixed-effect, random-effect and mean-group estimators range from 0.263 to 0.315,...

The paper examines the long-run relation and short-run dynamics between electricity prices and three fossil fuel prices - coal, natural gas and crude oil - using annual data for the U.S. for 1960-2007. The results suggest (1) a stable long-run relation between real prices for electricity and...

We examine the usefulness of several ARIMA-GARCH models for modeling and forecasting the conditional mean and volatility of weekly crude oil spot prices in eleven international markets over the 1/2/1997-10/3/2009 period. In particular, we investigate the out-of-sample forecasting performance of...