This paper address the extent of capital mobility and foreign debt sustainability in Turkey over the 1962-2003 period by examining the relationship between saving and investment, and imports and exports, respectively. The empirical investment is based on cointegration, error correction models,...

Purpose – The aim of this paper is to prove the validity of Wagner's hypothesis. Design/methodology/approach – The paper examines the validity of Wagner's hypothesis with annual data for Turkey over 1950-2005 period. Findings – The empirical results using the ARDL bounds tests of...

The sustainability of the Turkish budget deficits as well as the dynamics of government revenues and expenditures in controlling the size of the deficit is examined using annual data from 1968 to 2004. The findings support the existence of a long-run relation between government revenues and...

This study examines the sustainability along with the structural stability of the U.S. federal budget deficit over the post World War II period. Allowing for an endogenously determined structural break in 1982:1, tests of unit roots based on Perron's [<CitationRef CitationID="CR20">1997</CitationRef>] methodology suggest a stationary and...</citationref>

The response of the current account to monetary and fiscal shocks and real oil price shocks are examined using quarterly data for the United Kingdom over the flexible exchange rate period. We find statistical support for the existence of long-run asymmetries in the current account response to...

The paper examines the long-run relation and short-run dynamics between electricity prices and three fossil fuel prices - coal, natural gas and crude oil - using annual data for the U.S. for 1960-2007. The results suggest (1) a stable long-run relation between real prices for electricity and...

We examine the usefulness of several ARIMA-GARCH models for modeling and forecasting the conditional mean and volatility of weekly crude oil spot prices in eleven international markets over the 1/2/1997-10/3/2009 period. In particular, we investigate the out-of-sample forecasting performance of...

Examination of the upstream-downstream pricing behavior in U.S. natural gas industry reveals that: (a) natural gas markets are integrated but subject to regime shifts and asymmetric adjustments, suggesting market imperfections. (b) Demand- and supply-side shocks play important roles in...

We examine the long-run relations and short-run dynamics among the three primary energy prices-coal, natural gas and crude oil-using the annual and monthly US data for the post-1970 period. The results are consistent with the view that oil prices are determined globally; natural gas prices are...

The long-run relation and short-run dynamics of fiscal policy and current account is examined using time-series data on four East Asian economies -- South Korea, Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand. The purpose of the study is to test the validity of two alternative views on budget deficits -- the...