In this paper, we estimate a fully optimized BVAR model of the Canadian economy for the period 1971-87. The model is well-adapted to the features of a small open economy. We show how it can be used as an input in the monetary policy process either as a forecasting instrument or an analytical...

In this paper, we estimate a fully optimized BVAR model of the Canadian economy for the period 1971-87. The model is well-adapted to the features of a small open economy. We show how it can be used as an input in the monetary policy process either as a forecasting instrument or an analytical...

It is often argued that risk-sharing employment relationships provide a better description of labour relations than the standard Walrasian framework. Such relationships have been introduced in macroeconomic models under an assumption of full commitment. In the absence of commitment, however,...

This article studies the role of risk sharing in dynamic credit relationships that are secured by physical collateral. It is shown that, when borrowers and lenders cannot commit not to terminate relationships (through default in the first case and liquidation in the second), overinvestment is...

Canadian economists have devoted some attention to the study of regional cycles. In the Quebec-Ontario case, the "wid ening" hypothesis has emerged as the empirical consensus: this hypot hesis states that the gap between the two regional economies increase s in a recessionary period. This paper...

Since the abandonment of monetary targeting by the Central Banks of major industrial nations, McCallum's rule has attracted renewed attention in the macroeconomic literature. Both McCallum and his critics have investigated the stabilizing properties of the rule and its robustness across regimes...

The work of Robert Hall (1978) on the stochastic implications of the rational expectations-permanent income (RE-PI) theory has initiated numerous empirical analysis. The purpose of this paper is to reexamine this question using the methodology recently proposed by Abel and Mishkin (1983) on a...

This exploratory study attempts to measure and explain the evolution of productivity of seven Canadian air carriers over the 1970-80 period. Based on recent work on time series analysis, and in contrast to the conventional approach, this paper links measured productivity to the potential and...