Market response models based on field-generated data need to address potential endogeneity in the regressors to obtain consistent parameter estimates. Another requirement is that market response models predict well in a holdout sample. With both requirements combined, it may seem reasonable to...

Promotions affect sales after the immediate sales bump. In other words, they have dynamic effects on consumer purchase behavior outside the period of the promotional offer. The objective of this monograph is to present a comprehensive overview of the various dynamic effects of promotions. We...

One of the mysteries of store-level scanner data modeling is the lack of a dip in sales in the week(s) following a promotion. Researchers expect to find a postpromotion dip because analyses of household scanner panel data indicate that consumers tend to accelerate their purchases in response to...

The marketing literature suggests several phenomena that may contribute to the shape of the relationship between sales and price discounts. These phenomena can produce severe nonlinearities and interactions in the curves, and we argue that those are best captured with a flexible approach. Since...

We provide a rationale for evolutionary model building. The basic idea is that to enhance user acceptance it is important that one begins with a relatively simple model. Simplicity is desired so that managers understand models. As a manager uses the model and builds up experience with this...

Recent studies in marketing show decompositions of sales promotion effects based on household-level scanner data. Typically, the total elasticity is decomposed into choice, timing, and quantity elasticities. We propose a model that estimates standard, enhanced, and flexible decompositions based...

Several researchers have decomposed sales promotion elasticities. A key result is that the majority of the sales promotion elasticity, about 74 percent on average, is purportedly due to secondary demand effects (brand switching) and the remainder is due to primary demand effects (timing...

We provide a rationale for evolutionary model building. The basic idea is that to enhance user acceptance it is important that one begins with a relatively simple model. Simplicity is desired so that managers understand models. As a manager uses the model and builds up experience with this...

A retailer may allocate shelf space to brands based on factors, unobservable to researchers, which also determine sales. As a consequence, both sales and shelf space are endogenous in historical data, and this leads to inconsistent estimates of shelf space elasticities based on OLS. To obtain...

Despite the economic significance of the theme park industry and the huge investments needed to set up new attractions, no marketing models exist to guide these investment decisions. This study addresses this gap in the literature by estimating a response model for theme park attendance. The...