Parallel zu der Abwertung des Yen von November 1988 (120,67 Y/$) bis April 1990 (160,35 Y/$), fielen die Aktienkurse an der Börse von Tokyo. Die Bank von Japan hat in dieser Zeit durch fünf Diskontsatzerhöhungen den japanischen Zins dem internationalen Niveau angenähert. Der sogenannte...

In den späten achtziger Jahren kam eine neue Prognosetechnik zur Anwendung: die Veranstaltung so genannter "experimenteller Aktienmärkte". Diese Technik wurde zunächst vorrangig im Bereich der Wahlprognose eingesetzt, später fand sie auch in anderen Bereichen Anwendung, so z.B. bei der...

The results of an OECD study, according to which stock markets influence the long-term growth of the real economy through the relationship between investment activities and stock market size, were reviewed and/or supplemented on the basis of a data set newly generated by WIFO for 23 OECD...

Die Entwicklung der Aktienkurse hängt stark von den Gewinnaussichten der börsennotierten Unternehmen ab. Die Ergebnisse des ifo Konjunkturtests eignen sich erwiesenermaßen sehr gut zur Vorausschätzung der Absatz- und Ertragsentwicklung. Es bietet sich daher an, die erprobten...

The recent Euro area crisis, which has originally been driven mainly by macroeconomic factors, has had a strong impact also on financial markets leading internationally to what is referred to as contagion.The term «contagion», generally used in contrast to «interdependence», conveys the idea...

We consider how public firms influence their stock market valuations by timing the introduction of innovative new products. Our focus is on <i>innovation ratchet strategy</i>--firms timing the introduction of innovations in order to demonstrate an improvement in the number of introductions over time....

We introduce a new theoretically-based method of estimating the impact of the exchange rate and GDP on the stock market. In doing so, we utilize the new stochastic-factor model (a recent development in mathematical finance). Our results indicate a strong negative relationship between the stock...

In the increasingly globalized financial markets the impact of exchange rates fluctuations are progressively the center of focus for investors and policy makers. The main objective of this paper is to empirically investigate the causal link between the stock market and the exchange rates in the...