Pattern scaling methods are being widely applied to generate scenarios of climate change for quantification of their impacts on different systems. While generic limitations of this approach are welldocumented, the implications of the use of pattern scaling to inform adaptation decisions are not...

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While state-of-the-art models of Earth's climate system have improved tremendously over the last 20 years, nontrivial structural flaws still hinder their ability to forecast the decadal dynamics of the Earth system realistically. Contrasting the skill of these models not only with each other but...

A wide variety of processes are thought to show “long-range persistence”, specifically an autocorrelation function with power-law decay. A variety of methods have been proposed to quantify this power-law decay, and weather and climate systems, among others, have been claimed to show...

No abstract is available.