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Weather influences our daily lives and choices and has an enormous impact on corporate revenues and earnings. Weather derivatives dier from most derivatives in that the underlying weather cannot be traded and their market is relatively illiquid. The weather derivative market is therefore...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005677972
Many business people such as farmers and financial investors are affected by indirect losses caused by scarce or abundant rainfall. Because of the high potential of insuring rainfall risk, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) began trading rainfall derivatives in 2011. Compared to temperature...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010603543
Since the introduction of the first weather derivative in the United-States in 1997, a significant number of work was directed towards the pricing of this product and the modelling of the daily average temperature which characterizes most of the traded weather instruments. The weather...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008793721
We analyze a consistent two-factor model for pricing temperature derivatives that incorporates the forward looking information available in the market by specifying a model for the dynamics of the complete meteorological forecast curve. The two-factor model is a generalization of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011145246
Many business people such as farmers and financial investors are affected by indirect losses caused by scarce or abundant rainfall. Because of the high potential of insuring rainfall risk, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) began trading rainfall derivatives in 2011. Compared to temperature...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011065696
This paper consists of two parts. The first part aims to construct a LIBOR market model under the real-world measure (LMRW) according to the Jamshidian framework. Then, LIBOR rates, bond prices and a state price deflator are explicitly described under the LMRW. The second part aims to estimate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010883216
In this paper, we characterize subjective probability beliefs leading to a higher equilibrium market price of risk. We establish that Abel's result on the impact of doubt on the risk premium is not correct in general; see Abel [2002. An exploration of the effects of pessimism and doubt on asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010905355
This paper examines the relationships between market risk premiums, time-varying variance and covariance in forty-eight emerging, and seven developed capital markets. We allow each market’s risk premium generating process to be state-dependent by accounting for negative and positive market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010937091
Time-varying risk premia traditionally have been associated with the empirical fact that conditional second moments are time-varying. This paper additionally examines another possible source for time-varying risk premia, namely the market price of risk (lambda). For utility functions that do not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956408
We propose a unified analysis of a whole spectrum of no-arbitrage conditions for financial market models based on continuous semimartingales. In particular, we focus on no-arbitrage conditions weaker than the classical notions of No Arbitrage opportunity (NA) and No Free Lunch with Vanishing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011279134