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Economists and politicians have eagerly proposed policies aimed at stopping the decline in housing prices. The government can't and shouldn't be trying to stop price declines, according to Edward Glaeser of Harvard and Joseph Gyourko of Wharton.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005246652
Like many other assets, housing prices are quite volatile relative to observable changes in fundamentals. If we are going to understand boom-bust housing cycles, we must incorporate housing supply. In this paper, we present a simple model of housing bubbles that predicts that places with more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010550045
The volatility of house prices and construction levels is high. Both exhibit strong positive serial correlations at 1-year frequencies, Prices show strong mean reversion over 5-year periods. This paper asks whether these facts can be reconciled in a dynamic housing model, where in the tradition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011081435
In Manhattan and elsewhere, housing prices have soared over the 1990s. Rising incomes, lower interest rates, and other factors can explain the demand side of this increase, but some sluggishness on the supply of apartment buildings also is needed to account for the high and rising prices. In a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005103358
People continue to live in many big American cities, because in those cities housing costs less than new construction. While cities may lose their productive edge, their houses remain and population falls only when housing depreciates. This paper presents a simple durable housing model of urban...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005050089
Cities are physical structures, but the modern literature on urban economic development rarely acknowledges that fact. The elasticity of housing supply helps determine the extent to which increases in productivity will create bigger cities or just higher paid workers and more expensive homes. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005089157
Like many other assets, housing prices are quite volatile relative to observable changes in fundamentals. If we are going to understand boom-bust housing cycles, we must incorporate housing supply. In this paper, we present a simple model of housing bubbles that predicts that places with more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005089250
Urban economists understand housing prices with a spatial equilibrium approach that assumes people must be indifferent across locations. Since the spatial no arbitrage condition is inherently imprecise, other economists have turned to different no arbitrage conditions, such as the prediction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005710109
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009369170
Between 1996 and 2006, real housing prices rose by 53 percent according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency price index. One explanation of this boom is that it was caused by easy credit in the form of low real interest rates, high loan-to-value levels and permissive mortgage approvals. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008548795