This paper extends the shift-contagion concept to housing price returns in order to examine co-movements between pairs of regional housing markets in the US. It associates nonlinearities of housing prices with the monetary policy criteria at disaggregate levels. The framework with...

The paper extracts housing bubble implications from the perspective of housing price predictability. Specifically, it examines predictive powers of the good-time-to-buy (GTTB) index and the federal funds rate in nationwide and state-level housing price returns by means of out-of-sample tests...

This article aims to explore the implications of the recent housing crisis from a forward-looking perspective in the form of the two-regime switching phenomena under a Threshold Autoregressive (TAR) model. Three categories of thresholds, which are housing prices, housing volumes and...

This paper investigates how an important driver of the recent housing boom and bust, people’s expectation, influences housing asset returns. Specifically, it extends the volatility feedback model to study the relationship between housing volatility and asset returns during 19632007. The...

This study examines the role of households’ expectations in predicting the housing boom–bust cycles in the United States. It incorporates two nonlinear features of housing price dynamics: a threshold co-movement between households’ expectations and housing price growth and a structural...

The paper develops a housing deep-habit model to explore linkages between macroeconomic decisions and asset pricing of nondurable and housing goods. Owing to heterogeneous characteristics of housing assets, the model sheds insights into the counter-cyclical property of housing markups.

The study delivers new implications for risk management and asset allocation by investigating extreme dependences between real estate investment trust (REIT) and stock returns, where ‘extreme dependences’ refer to cross-asset linkages during extraordinary periods. It primarily differentiates...