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its contribution to the price discovery process of the spot market. We modeled the relation between WTI spot and future … the contribution of future markets to the price discovery mechanism. The results show that in the case of WTI, the …The aim of this article is to empirically measure the contribution of the futures market to the price discovery process …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010868802
This paper undertakes an investigation into the efficiency of the crude oil futures market and the forecasting accuracy of futures prices. Efficiency of the market is analysed in terms of the expected excess returns to speculation in the futures market. Accuracy of futures prices is compared...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599690
Staff Discussion Notes showcase the latest policy-related analysis and research being developed by individual IMF staff and are published to elicit comment and to further debate. These papers are generally brief and written in nontechnical language, and so are aimed at a broad audience...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790479
In reaction to the recent financial crisis, increased attention has recently been given to financial transaction taxes (FTTs) as a means of (1) raising revenue for a variety of possible purposes and/or (2) helping to curb financial market excesses. This paper reviews existing theory and evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008876594
Many governments are heavily exposed to oil price risk, especially those dependent on revenue derived from oil … production. For these governments, dealing with large price movements is difficult and costly. Traditional approaches, such as … decade, and their range and depth could allow even substantial producers, and consumers, to hedge their oil price risk. Yet …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605340
The importance of studying the futures markets and the relationship between spot and futures prices is given by the possibility that futures contracts offer in order to reduce particular risks. The financial theory presents the relationships between spot and futures prices in the framework of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010592594
Although there is much interest in the future retail price of gasoline among consumers, industry analysts, and … policymakers, it is widely believed that changes in the price of gasoline are essentially unforecastable given publicly available … information. We explore a range of new forecasting approaches for the retail price of gasoline and compare their accuracy with the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011145393
Although there is much interest in the future retail price of gasoline among consumers, industry analysts, and … policymakers, it is widely believed that changes in the price of gasoline are essentially unforecastable given publicly available … information. We explore a range of new forecasting approaches for the retail price of gasoline and compare their accuracy with the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011124460
price discovery in the spot and futures markets for five non-ferrous metals (aluminium, copper, lead, nickel, and zinc). The …-unit cointegration coefficient. Price discovery can be analyzed in the FCVAR model by a relatively straightforward examination of the … find slightly more evidence of price discovery in the spot market. Specifically, using standard likelihood ratio tests, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886798
sub-period identified, with the aim to analyze where changes in spot and futures price originate and how they spread …-2008 food price increase …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010914917