Econometric prediction accuracy for personal income forecasts is examined for a region of the United States. Previously published regional structural equation model (RSEM) forecasts exist ex ante for the state of New Mexico and its three largest metropolitan statistical areas: Albuquerque, Las...

Economic conditions remain healthy in the borderplex. That assessment is reflected by growth in output, business receipts, and personal incomes. Greater numbers of jobs allow the El Paso unemployment rate to trend downward as the local labor market strengthens. Although consumer indebtedness...

Water utility planning efforts are becoming increasingly difficult throughout the world. Located in a semi-arid region, Ciudad Juárez, Mexico is a fast growing municipality that faces both physical infrastructure and water supply constraints. This paper examines monthly water consumption in...

An important issue in applied international economics is the extent to which trade flows adjust to changes in economic activity, relative prices, and exchange rates. While there have been numerous studies regarding aggregate trade flows, relatively little empirical work has been completed with...

Increases in international merchandise trade plus growth in the northern Mexico maquiladora sector have caused the volume of cargo vehicle flows through border metropolitan areas to expand in recent decades. To examine whether the trends associated with these developments can be successfully...

A theoretical model of inflationary dynamics is developed for Mexico. Estimation is carried out using ARIMA transfer function analysis. Sample data are for the January 1982 - December 1998 period. Overall econometric characteristics of the model satisfy standard statistical criteria. Results...

The Mexican in-bond assembly, or maquiladora manufacturing sector, has taken its fair share of lumps in recent years. Collectively, such obstacles have contributed to periodic employment declines in this industry. A major factor at the turn of this century was ongoing de-regulation of the...

As exports from regions of developing economies to higher income economies grow, business cycle linkages between these areas also increase. This study applies a transfer function ARIMA methodology to the analysis of maquiladora sector employment in a non-border region of Mexico as a means for...