This study investigated the magnitude of forecast improvements resulting from correction of inefficiencies in USDA … cotton forecasts over 1999/00 to 2008/09 marketing years. The aspects of forecast performance included in this study were 1 …) bias and trends in bias, 2) correlation between forecast error and forecast level, 3) autocorrelation in forecast errors, 4 …

werden. Die Prognose der Veränderungen auf regionaler Ebene zeigt, dass auch in einem baden-württembergischen Gunststandort … the milk quota regulation. The forecast shows that even in a favoured region for milk production, the overall output of …

-year-ahead forecasts deteriorates however sharply when the forecast horizon increases. Despite their poor quality, forecasts are mostly …

This study uses quantile regressions to estimate historical forecast error distributions for WASDE forecasts of corn … regressions with fit errors expressed as a function of forecast lead time are consistent with theoretical forecast variance …

Die Prognose von makroökonomischen Zeitreihen steht häufig vor dem Problem, dass die verwendeten Indikatoren und die … Informationen, die innerhalb einer Periode hinzukommen, in die Prognose einbezogen werden können. Anhand einer Fallstudie für das …