Showing 1 - 10 of 2,933
, while underweighting persists in actual choices, overweighting is observed in judged probabilities. The results of the two … underweighting of rare events. The current paper extends the results of such contributions and further strengthens the evidence on … underweighting. The first experiment shows that the discrepancy persists even when people sample the entire population of outcomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011051361
, especially if their samples are small. The current paper examines the necessity of sample error in the underweighting of rare … repeated decision making paradigm that controls for sample biases and the "hot stove" effect. Moreover, while underweighting … persists in actual choices, overweighting is observed in judged probabilities. The results of the two experiments strengthen …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008458280
-based decisions is significantly different. More specifically, we observe a less pronounced overweighting of small probabilities and a … more pronounced underweighting of moderate and high probabilities for experience-based decisions. On the contrary, for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010990473
We analyze behavior in two basic classes of decision tasks: description-based and experience-based. In particular, we compare the prediction power of a number of decision learning models in both kinds of tasks. Unlike most previous studies, we focus on individual, rather than aggregate,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010550652
This paper tests whether utility is the same for risk and for uncertainty. This test is critical for models that capture ambiguity aversion through a difference in event weighting between risk and uncertainty, like the multiple priors models and prospect theory. We present a new method to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969007
Deviations from normality in financial return series have led to the development of alternative portfolio selection models. One such model is the downside risk model, whereby the investor maximizes his return given a downside risk constraint. In this paper we empirically observe the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010986470
Risk aversion—but also the higher-order risk preferences of prudence and temperance—are fundamental concepts in the study of economic decision making. We propose a method to jointly measure the intensity of risk aversion, prudence, and temperance. Our theoretical approach is to define risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010987807
overweighting of low probabilities with a decreasingly elastic value function. We then examine the performance of prospect theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010987820
This paper merges the non-expected utility approach (Tversky and Kahneman, J Risk Uncertain 5:297–323, <CitationRef CitationID="CR17">1992</CitationRef> and Quiggin, J Econ Behav Organ 3:323–343, <CitationRef CitationID="CR14">1982</CitationRef>) into Akerlof’s (Quart J Econ 84:488–500, <CitationRef CitationID="CR2">1970</CitationRef>) model of Market for Lemons. We derive the results for different probability...</citationref></citationref></citationref>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010988765
This study extends experimental tests of (cumulative) prospect theory (PT) over prospects with more than three outcomes and tests second-order stochastic dominance principles (Levy and Levy, Management Science 48:1334–1349, <CitationRef CitationID="CR44">2002</CitationRef>; Baucells and Heukamp, Management Science 52:1409–1423, <CitationRef CitationID="CR10">2006</CitationRef>)....</citationref></citationref>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010988772