Bloom, Nicholas; Floetotto, Max; Jaimovich, Nir; … - Census Bureau, Department of Commerce - 2014
We propose uncertainty shocks as a new shock that drives business cycles. First, we demonstrate that microeconomic … uncertainty is robustly countercyclical, rising sharply during recessions, particularly during the Great Recession of 2007 …-2009. Second, we quantify the impact of time-varying uncertainty on the economy in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model …