Recent literature has pointed out that information asymmetries may be the reason for the poor performance of structural credit risk models to fit corporate bond data. It is well known in fact that these models lead to a strong understatement of the credit spread terms structure, particularly on...

The paper uses fuzzy measure theory to represent liquidity risk, i.e. the case in which the probability measure used to price contingent claims is not known precisely. This theory enables one to account for different values of long and short positions. Liquidity risk is introduced by...

In this paper we apply a copula function pricing technique to the evaluation of vulnerable options, i.e. options with counterpart risk. Using copulas enables to separate the specification of marginal distributions and the dependence structure of the events of exercise of the option and default...

A recent stream of literature has suggested that many market imperfections or 'puzzles' can be easily explained once information ambiguity, or knightian uncertainty is taken into account. Here we propose a parametric representation of this concept by means of a special class of fuzzy measures,...

We propose a model and an estimation technique to distinguish systemic risk and contagion in credit risk. The main idea is to assume, for a set of $d$ obligors, a set of $d$ idiosyncratic shocks and a shock that triggers the default of all them. All shocks are assumed to be linked by a...

We propose a hierarchical Marshall–Olkin model of countrywide systemic risk. At the lower level, we model the systemic risk of a crisis within the banking system (that we call “within” systemic risk) and at the higher level we model the probability of a joint default of the banking system...

type="main" xml:lang="en" <p>In this paper we present a value-at-risk measure which accounts for market liquidity. We show that taking into account market liquidity implies a decoupling of valuation of long and short positions. We present a pricing model, named fuzzy measure model, that yields...</p>

type="main" xml:lang="en" <p>This paper uses copula functions to evaluate tail probabilities and market risk trade-offs at a given confidence level, dropping the joint normality assumption on returns. Copulas enable one to represent distribution functions separating the marginal distributions from...</p>

In this paper we suggest the adoption of copula functions in order to price multivariate contingent claims. Copulas enable us to imbed the marginal distributions extracted from vertical spreads in the options markets in a multivariate pricing kernel. We prove that such kernel is a copula...

Viene proposta una metodologia per costruire scenari coerenti per analisi distress testing nel controllo dei rischi finanziari. Il metodo, basato sull'approccio bayesiano di Black e Litterman per l'ottimizzazione del portafoglio, consente di anire informazione storica e implicita, pubblica e...