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macroeconomic data from 1980 to 2012 and contrast a panel of 22 OECD countries with 11 EMU member countries and the so called GIIPS … of the EMU. In particular, we find that the relationship between the perceived default risk reflected by long … cluster specific. Our findings suggest that there is a strong connection of institutional aspects of EMU and the relationship …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010762065
This paper qualifies the view of pronounced overpricing of sovereign bonds for the so-called GIIPS countries during the … the Maastricht treaty, the EMU convergence era, and the financial crisis. In detail, we find: (i) Since the 1980s the role … treaty, and again with the wake-up call due to the onset of the financial crisis. (ii) Before the financial crisis EMU member …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010888450
-called GIIPS countries before the start of the financial crisis. Our results also qualify the view of pronounced overpricing in the … financial crisis. (ii) Before the financial crisis EMU member countries had de facto been perceived as a homogenous group with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010955006
This paper qualifies the view of pronounced overpricing of sovereign bonds for the so-called GIIPS countries during the … the Maastricht treaty, the EMU-convergence era, and the financial crisis. In detail, we find: (i) Since the 1980s the role … treaty, and again with the wake-up call due to the onset of the financial crisis. (ii) Before the financial crisis EMU member …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010936525
test of this proposition, and the outcome leaves the EU found wanting. The first section of this paper places EMU in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008784770
Extending the open-economy loanable funds model, this paper finds that more government borrowing as a percent of GDP leads to a higher government bond yield, that a higher real money market rate, a higher expected inflation rate, a higher EU government bond yield, or a decrease in the Slovak...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010938634
This paper extends the open-economy loanable funds model to Greece and finds that a higher government debt/GDP ratio, a higher real short-term rate, a higher percent change in real GDP, a higher expected inflation rate, a higher EU government bond yield, or a higher nominal effective exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009421167
Abstract The utilization of a real-interest rate rule in Romer’s new-Keynesian IS-MP approach, which is consistent with new synthesis intertemporal baseline macroeconomic models, provides a contemporary alternative to the standard old-Keynesian IS-LM model and moves back the emphasis on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257942
We specify an open-economy version of a two-region New Keynesian model for EMU and demonstrate that the result on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011020572
This study analyses whether expected budget deficits have an impact on interest rate swap spreads in France, Germany and Italy. We use monthly deficit forecasts from financial market participants to take the forward-looking behaviour of financial markets into account. Results of a SUR estimation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083224