Showing 1 - 10 of 87
An economic environment is a feedback system, where the dynamics of aggregate variables depend on individual expectations and vice versa. The type of feedback mechanism is crucial for the aggregate outcome. Experiments with human subjects (Heemeijer et al., J Econ Dyn Control 33:1052–1072, <CitationRef...</citationref>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011001846
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010953233
Recent empirical evidence suggests that financial networks exhibit a core periphery network structure. This paper aims at giving an economic explanation for the emergence of such a structure using network formation theory. Focusing on intermediation benefits, we find that a core periphery...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272587
We introduce heterogeneous expectations in a standard housing market model linking housing rental levels to fundamental buying prices. Using quarterly data we estimate the model parameters for eight different countries, US, UK, NL, JP, CH, ES, SE and BE. We find that the data support...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272607
This discussion paper resulted in a publication in the <I>Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control</I>. Volume 33(11), pp. 1912-1928.<P> This paper formalizes the idea that more hedging instruments may destabilize markets when traders are heterogeneous and adapt their behavior according to experience based...</p></i>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255525
This discussion paper led to a publication in 'Macroeconomic Dynamics' (2013). Vol. 17(8), pp. 1574-1604.<P> The recent macroeconomic literature stresses the importance of managing heterogeneous expectations in the formulation of monetary policy. We use a stylized macro model of Howitt (1992) to...</p>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255558
This short paper is a comment on ``Testing for Nonlinear Structure and Chaos in Economic Time Series'' by Catherine Kyrtsou and Apostolos Serletis. We summarize their main results and discuss some of their conclusions concerning the role of outliers and noisy chaos. In particular, we include...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255740
Rational expectations assumes perfect, model consistency between beliefs and market realizations. Here we discuss behaviorally rational expectations, characterized by an observable, parsimonious and intuitive form of consistency between beliefs and realizations. We discuss three case-studies....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255795
We discuss recent work on bounded rationality and learning in relation to Soros' principle of reflexivity and stress the empirical importance of non-rational, almost self-fulfilling equilibria in positive feedback systems. As an empirical example, we discuss a behavioral asset pricing model with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255872
This discussion paper led to a chapter in: (S.N. Durlauf & L.E. Blume (Eds.))<I>The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics</I> 2nd ed. Vol.4, pp. 402-406. Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan, 2008.<P> Interacting agents in finance represent a behavioral, agent-based approach in which financial markets are...</p></i>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255945