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This discussion paper led to an article in the <I>Journal of Time Series Analysis</I> (2010). Vol. 31, pages 407-414.<P> State space models with nonstationary processes and fixed regression effects require a state vector with diffuse initial conditions. Different likelihood functions can be adopted for...</p></i>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256097
State space models with nonstationary processes and fixed regression effects require a state vector with diffuse initial conditions. Different likelihood functions can be adopted for the estimation of parameters in time series models with diffuse initial conditions. In this paper we consider...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005137120
State space models with non-stationary processes and/or fixed regression effects require a state vector with diffuse initial conditions. Different likelihood functions can be adopted for the estimation of parameters in time-series models with diffuse initial conditions. In this article, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008671044
We propose an unobserved-component time series model of gross domestic product that includes Markov switching as an unobserved component. In addition to a trend component, the model has two time-varying drift components. One drift represents the expected rate of growth during recession; the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005732722
Housing markets typically exhibit a strong positive correlation between the rate of price increase and the number of houses sold. We document this correlation on high-quality Dutch data for the period 1985–2007, and estimate a VEC-model that allows us to study the mechanism giving rise to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010636460
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005192867
This paper presents a hierarchical trend model (HTM) for selling prices of houses, addressing three main problems: the spatial and temporal dependence of selling prices and the dependency of price index changes on housing quality. In this model the general price trend, cluster-level price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005547307
The correct measurement of house price movements over time on a regional level and for small market segments, with relatively few transactions, is considered. The research is based on data of housing market transactions in the Amsterdam Region over the period 1985-1999. In response to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011153829
Housing corporations are willing to partly adjust rents to market conditions. At the moment rental prices in the social subsidised housing sector in the Netherlands are regulated and only partly reflect the underlying house values. On the other hand the Dutch commercial rental housing sector is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011153890
This paper considers spot variance path estimation from datasets of intraday high-frequency asset prices in the presence of diurnal variance patterns, jumps, leverage effects, and microstructure noise. We rely on parametric and nonparametric methods. The estimated spot variance path can be used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010970321