Bauwens, Luc; Koop, Gary; Korobilis, Dimitris; … - Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis (RCEA) - 2011
This paper compares the forecasting performance of different models which have been proposed for forecasting in the … macroeconomic time series, we demonstrate the presence of structural breaks and their importance for forecasting in the vast … majority of cases. We find no single forecasting model consistently works best in the presence of structural breaks. In many …