Sanin, Maria Eugenia; Mansanet-Bataller, Maria; … - School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus - 2015
We study the short-term price behavior of Phase 2 EU emission allowances. We model returns and volatility dynamics, and we demonstrate that a standard ARMAX-GARCH framework is inadequate for this modeling and that the gaussianity assumption is rejected due to a number of outliers. To improve the...