Murray, Jamie - Treasury, Government of New Zealand - 2013
multiplier and output losses associated with fiscal consolidations to uncertainty over model parameters. I find that, in normal … times, the fiscal multiplier can be expected to lie between 0.1 and 0.5, with a central estimate of 0.3. Uncertainty over … the output effects of fiscal tightening can be attributed to several model parameters and it is found that a bad outcome …