Showing 1 - 10 of 10,058
This paper studies the role of monetary and open economy indicators in inflation targeting (IT) economies through the analysis of a nested Phillips curve/ P-star model for Chile and Mexico. For Chile a real money gap and a money growth indicator are found to be relevant in predicting deviations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005577133
This paper extends the efficiency wages/partially adaptive expectations Phillips curve, otherwise known as the price-price Phillips curve, from a closed economy context to an open economy one with both commodity trade and capital mobility. We also consider the case of a monetary union (a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886968
This paper provides evidence for a low frequency relationship between unemployment, inflation and the nominal interest rate. I show that in the United States from 1959.1 to 1991.3, the unemployment rate, the inflation rate and the federal funds rate can be modelled as non stationary time series...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792534
bounds test for cointegration, Johansen and Juselius (1990) multivariate cointegration test, Granger causality …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011112036
Theoretical study identifying one modality with conditions necesary for the financial stabilization of an inherently unstable system; and 5040 other unstable dynamic modes. It draws on knowledge made available by the academic field of Control Engineering.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125628
This paper attempts a resolution of the Fisher effect puzzle in terms of estimator choice. Using both short-term and long-term interest rates for 14 OECD countries, we find ample evidence supporting the existence of a long-run Fisher effect in which interest rates move oneto- one with inflation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656667
In this paper we examine tests for cointegration which allow for the possibility of regime shifts. We propose augmented … Dickey-Fuller (ADF) and Phillips type tests designed to test the null of no cointegration against the alternative of … cointegration in the presence of a possible regime shift. In particular we consider cases where the intercept and/or slope …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005688254
I propose an econometric model that improves upon existing methods of estimating the natural rate of unemployment (NAIRU) by using information contained in the trend of productivity growth. My approach enhances the recently proposed model of Staiger, Stock and Watson (1997) in several respects....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004963765
The recent rise of the public debt limits governments’ room for manoeuvre in terms of economic policy and it seems urgent to try to slow down its progression. This paper shows that even if financial repression appears as an appealing solution for the so called peripheral countries of the euro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010968987
We provide new evidence on the response of real interest rates and inflation to monetary shocks. Our measure of monetary policy shocks is based on unexpected changes in interest rates over a 30-minute window surrounding scheduled Federal Reserve announcements. Our estimates indicate that nominal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969387