This paper proposes a measure of real-time inflation expectations based on metadata, i.e., data about data, constructed … from internet search queries performed on the search engine Google. The forecasting performance of the Google Inflation … Search Index (GISI) is assessed relative to 37 other indicators of inflation expectations – 36 survey measures and the TIPS …

This paper address the issue of assessing inflation persistence in Belarus using quarterly seasonally adjusted data … allowed us to detect three structural breaks in dynamics of GDP deflator inflation and CPI inflation, including one at the end … into account, while testing for dynamics properties of inflation and its persistence, we found that GDP deflator inflation …

data from 1996-97Q1 to 2011-12Q4. It finds that both the shocks impact real output growth and inflation in the short …. An unanticipated hike/reduction in policy rate leads to a symmetric decline/rise in inflation. An unanticipated change in … money supply leads to higher inflation, but a similar decrease in it has no significant impact on inflation. …

For decades, the academic literature has focused on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey … models of forecasting inflation, the data are low frequency measures which appear anachronistic in the modern era of high … frequency and real-time data. I present a collection of 37 different measures of inflation expectations, including many …

This study analyses inflation, money supply and output growth in Indonesia during 1950-2002. We develop a monetary … model of inflation and uses it as a theoretical basis for this study, by the estimation of the cointegration-and error …-correction models of inflation. …

time-varying causality tests indicate that inflation is not always a monetary phenomenon in Malaysia. Therefore, the …

I present evidence that higher frequency measures of inflation expectations outperform lower frequency measures of … inflation expectations in tests of accuracy, predictive power, and rationality. For decades, the academic literature has focused … on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey, the Survey of Professional Forecasters, and the …

autoregressive model for the inflation rate. By construction, our approach avoids a number of problems related to the GMM estimation … of the NKPC. We estimate the hybrid NKPC with quarterly U.S. data (1955:1–2010:3), and both expected future inflation and … lagged inflation are found important in determining the inflation rate, with the former clearly dominating. Moreover …

This paper analyzes euro area and U.S. inflation dynamics since the beginning of the 1990s by estimating New Keynesian … hybrid Phillips curves with time-varying parameters. We measure inflation expectations by subjective forecasts from Consensus … results indicate that in both economic areas the inflation dynamics have steadily become more forward-looking over time. We …

autoregressive model for the inflation rate. By construction, our approach avoids a number of problems related to the GMM estimation … of the NKPC. We estimate the hybrid NKPC with quarterly U.S. data (1955:1-2010:3), and both expected future inflation and … lagged inflation are found important in determining the inflation rate, with the former clearly dominating. Moreover …